The trends that Gartner signals this year, according to the organization, would blur the boundaries between man and machine. The techniques make it possible for companies to be present everywhere, to be always available and to connect to ecosystems.
gartner hype cycle 2018
Gartner Hype Cycle
According to the Gartner Hype Cycle , new technologies go through a five-stage journey before they become fully mainstream. These are as follows:
Innovation Trigger : a potential technological breakthrough triggers the start. There is a lot of publicity for the topic, often around concepts. Often there are no usable products yet. Commercial viability has not yet been proven.
Peak of Inflated Expectations : Early publicity has produced a number of success stories. Often there are also many failures. Some companies are now taking action, but many companies are not doing anything about it.
Trough of Disillusionment : Interest wanes because experiments and implementations yield nothing. Investments will only continue if products are improved to the satisfaction of early adopters .
Slope of Enlightenment : It is becoming increasingly clear how technology can benefit businesses. Second and third generation products are coming to market. More and more companies are getting started with pilots, but conservative companies remain cautious.
Plateau of Productivity : We are clearly past the early adoption phase : the technology is becoming more mainstream. Its broad applicability and relevance are becoming increasingly clear.
What are the tech trends that can impact your business? They won’t be mainstream overnight, but you don’t want to miss the boat either. It would be a shame if you joined too late and couldn’t keep up. So: see the trends as developments that will become important in the coming years.
1. Artificial intelligence becomes available to the masses
Gartner expects that in the next ten years we will see applications of AI practically everywhere. In particular, the developments in cloud computing, open source and the 'maker community' (in addition to offering products, also sharing the knowledge you have gained in the production process) ensure that we will see more AI.
Gartner bases this on the technologies that use AI, and where they are on the cycle. For example, smart assistants, self-driving cars and AI Platform as a Service will become mainstream in the coming years or quickly reach the 'Peak of Inflated Expectations'.
In addition to the visible applications, AI is also used for new, invisible applications – for example, algorithms that are used to find welfare fraud. In order to keep a grip on artificial intelligence as a society, IT consultant Sieuwert van Otterloo advocates Algorithm Impact Assessments .
2. Digital 'ecosystems'
We see a shift from closed technical infrastructures to platforms that enable a digital ecosystem . This would lay the foundation for the bridge between people and technology. New technologies require a revolution in the foundation of infrastructure. This has to do with, for example, data volume, advanced computing power and therefore the digital ecosystems so that you can be 'ubiquitous'.
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Among other things, the development of the Internet of Things and blockchain on the Hype Cycle show this trend. Although there is also quite a bit of criticism about blockchain.
In the coming decade, Gartner expects us to enter the 'superhuman' era. This has to do with ' biohacking ', a term whose definitions vary . NOS calls it "From 'tinkering with your body' to optimizing your life with biology, technology and do-it-yourself science." A biohacker explains to NOS that "biohackers try to stretch the boundaries of human capacity".
This can be divided into four categories to improve your health and life:
Technology
The combination of genes and food
Experimental biology
' Grinder biohacking ': modifying your body greece telegram data with technology, for example with chips.
Whether society is ready for this and what ethical issues arise remains to be seen.
The technologies that are part of this trend, such as biochips, biotech, augmented reality (AR) and smart tissues, are moving quickly through the Hype Cycle. Augmented reality, for example, is near the bottom of the Trough of Disillusionment, while biochips are now at the Peak of Inflated Expectations and are likely to move to the Plateau of Productivity in the next decade.
biohacking
4. Transparency between people, companies and things
According to Gartner, technology will become increasingly human-centric – to the point of achieving transparency between people, businesses and things. This will expand and enable smarter living, smarter working and smarter spaces. This is related to technologies such as the connected home , smart workspace and 4D printing .